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> I may not be as wise as Matt Yglesias, but I am wise enough not to declare one side the winner without an ironclad dataset to back me up. I can’t think of a sufficiently good one that doesn’t feel cherry-picked.

https://www.dannyhayes.org/uploads/6/9/8/5/69858539/kalmoe___mason_ncapsa_2019_-_lethal_partisanship_-_final_lmedit.pdf

This study asks a bunch of questions which seem to be fairly close to "how dumb and goddamn crazy are you," including "Do you ever think: we’d be better off as a country if large numbers of [Opposing party] in the public today just died?" (20% Dem, 15% Rep) and "If [Opposing party] are going to behave badly, they should be treated like animals." (about 15% Dem, 20% Rep), and "Many [Opposing party] lack the traits to be considered fully human—they behave like animals." (About the same between parties, maybe 1% leads for Republicans.) and "What if [Opposing party] win the 2020 presidential election? How much do you feel violence would be justified then?" (18% Dem, 14% Rep).

My overall vibe from looking at the included data: maybe a marginal victory for Rs, but neither side is looking particularly better than the other. Like, maybe the Rs are 10% less crazy, as a whole, but not much more than that.

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